BCMoore Rankings - Iowa High School Basketball

Stren = rating of individual game played by team, standard regression
* under C header = conference game
Resid = measure of team performance versus expectation.
  Negative Resid = team played below expectations.
  Positive Resid = team played above expectations.
* under I header = game is ignored by modified rankings.
Predict = standard regression rankings for played games.
Predict = modified regression rankings for future games.
Team Stdev = measure of variability of the team based on Stren scores.
Game Stdev = measure of variability of the team based on Resid values.


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Burlington Notre Dame

Class: 1A Class Rank: 10 Conference: (18-4) Overall: (21-6) Overall Strength =   83.38

  N Date       Location  C  Stren  We They Levl Rank ( W- L) Opponent               Resid I Predict
  1 11/26/2007 Away    W *  90.92  61   22   1A  115 ( 4-18) Riverside Highland      6.50 *   32.50                      
  2 11/30/2007 Home    W *  64.59  56   53   2A  102 ( 9-12) West Burlington       -19.83     22.83                      
  3 12/04/2007 Away    W *  81.04  80   44   1A  128 ( 1-21) Fairfield Maharishi    -3.38 *   39.38                      
  4 12/07/2007 Home    W *  89.95  63   52   2A   36 (16- 7) Central Lee             5.53      5.47                      
  5 12/14/2007 Away    W *  92.71  74   38   1A   87 ( 8-14) New London              8.29 *   27.71                      
  6 12/18/2007 Away    W *  81.55  51   36   1A   56 (13- 9) Fort Madison Trinity   -2.87     17.87                      
  7 12/20/2007 Home    W *  87.94  66   37   2A  104 ( 9-12) Mediapolis              3.52 *   25.48                      
  8 12/21/2007 Away    W *  82.91  86   46   1A  127 ( 3-17) Farmington Harmony     -1.51 *   41.51                      
  9 01/04/2008 Home    W *  80.30  59   41   2A   96 (13-10) Danville               -4.12     22.12                      
 10 01/08/2008 Away    W *  71.29  56   39   1A  106 ( 6-16) Eldon Cardinal        -13.13 *   30.13                      
 11 01/10/2008 Away    W * 110.61  68   43   2A   33 (20- 4) Keosauqua Van Buren    26.19     -1.19  was 12/11 now 01/10 
 12 01/11/2008 Away    W *  83.45  60   42   2A  102 ( 9-12) West Burlington        -0.97     18.97                      
 13 01/15/2008 Home    W *  79.17  75   37   1A  128 ( 1-21) Fairfield Maharishi    -5.24 *   43.24                      
 14 01/18/2008 Away    L *  74.81  76   84   2A   36 (16- 7) Central Lee            -9.60      1.60                      
 15 01/19/2008 Away    L    80.30  58   65   3A   23 (11-11) Maquoketa              -4.12     -2.88                      
 16 01/22/2008 Home    L *  74.74  61   68   2A   33 (20- 4) Keosauqua Van Buren    -9.68      2.68                      
 17 01/25/2008 Home    W *  88.85  81   45   1A   87 ( 8-14) New London              4.43 *   31.57                      
 18 01/28/2008 Home    W *  77.42  73   46   1A  106 ( 6-16) Eldon Cardinal         -7.00 *   34.00                      
 19 02/01/2008 Neutral L *  66.23  55   72   2A   25 (20- 3) Packwood Pekin        -18.19      1.19  Final Four Bracket  
 20 02/02/2008 Away    W    97.79  86   13   1A  141 ( 3- 8) Bettendorf Rivermont   13.37 *   59.63  was 01/29 now 02/02 
 21 02/08/2008 Home    L *  73.95  66   71   2A   36 (16- 7) Central Lee           -10.47      5.47  SEISC tournament Final Four
 22 02/12/2008 Away    W    86.92  66   37   3A   63 ( 2-18) Fort Madison            2.50 *   26.50  was 12/08 now 02/04 now 02/05 now 02/12
 23 02/14/2008 Neutral W *  91.59  89   50   1A   94 ( 7-15) Winfield-Mt Union       7.17 *   31.83                      
 24 02/19/2008 Neutral W *  91.61  73   46   1A   56 (13- 9) Fort Madison Trinity    7.19     19.81                      
 25 02/21/2008 Neutral W *  96.66  48   34   1A   14 (17- 6) Iowa Mennonite         12.24      1.76                      
 26 02/23/2008 Neutral W   104.88  55   37   1A    6 (21- 3) Preston                20.46     -2.46                      
 27 03/03/2008 Neutral L    77.14  34   46   1A    2 (21- 7) George-Little Rock     -7.28     -4.72                      
      Averages              84.42  65.8 46.1

Best game:  110.61 = 25 point win over Keosauqua Van Buren
Worst game:  64.59 = 3 point win over West Burlington
Team stdev:  10.91